Buffalo State Football
Buffalo State is an NCAA Division III football program in the Liberty League, based in Buffalo, NY. The 2026 record stands at 1-7. The Cooper Predictor rates Buffalo State at -30.8, No. 228 of 246 D-III teams and No. 7 of 7 in the Liberty League. The model projects a 1-9 finish, with Playoff Odds of 0.8%. The model's pre-game picks are 8-0 in Buffalo State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Ithaca 14-65 on Oct 31. Next up: at St. Lawrence on Nov 7 — the model projects St. Lawrence 38-21, giving Buffalo State a 14% chance to win.
Open Buffalo State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division III.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | @ Brockport | L 3-48 1% ✓ | L 0-68 |
| Sep 12 | @ Hartwick | L 24-34 35% ✓ | L 13-47 |
| Sep 19 | vs Alfred State | L 17-48 5% ✓ | L 7-41 |
| Sep 26 | @ Union | L 0-45 1% ✓ | L 14-63 |
| Oct 3 | @ Rochester (NY) | L 3-41 2% ✓ | L 18-29 |
| Oct 10 | vs Rensselaer | L 7-52 1% ✓ | L 0-56 |
| Oct 24 | vs Hilbert | W 49-24 93% ✓ | W 39-27 |
| Oct 31 | vs Ithaca | L 3-59 0% ✓ | L 14-65 |
| Nov 7 | @ St. Lawrence | L 21-38 14% | — |
| Nov 14 | vs Hobart | L 6-49 1% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Buffalo State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Liberty League by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ithaca | 7-1 | +26.3 |
| 2 |  Rensselaer | 6-2 | +23.2 |
| 3 |  Hobart | 5-3 | +16.6 |
| 4 |  Union | 4-4 | +13.2 |
| 5 |  Rochester (NY) | 3-5 | -4.7 |
| 6 |  St. Lawrence | 2-6 | -16.6 |
| 7 | Buffalo State | 1-7 | -30.8 |
High schools on the Buffalo State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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