
Mississippi State Football
Mississippi State is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the SEC, based in Starkville, MS. The 2026 record stands at 4-4. The Cooper Predictor rates Mississippi State at +6.7, No. 43 of 138 FBS teams and No. 14 of 16 in the SEC. The model projects a 6-6 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 7-1 in Mississippi State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Texas 3-31 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Vanderbilt on Nov 7 — the model projects Mississippi State 34-27, giving Mississippi State a 69% chance to win.
Open Mississippi State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | vs UL Monroe | W 42-14 94% ✓ | W 62-13 |
| Sep 12 | @ Minnesota | W 28-27 50% ✓ | W 38-13 |
| Sep 19 | @ South Carolina | L 27-31 40% ✗ | W 41-34 |
| Sep 26 | vs Missouri | W 34-28 64% ✓ | W 31-24 |
| Oct 3 | vs Alabama | L 28-38 26% ✓ | L 23-56 |
| Oct 17 | @ LSU | L 24-35 27% ✓ | L 0-31 |
| Oct 24 | vs Oklahoma | L 24-27 49% ✓ | L 15-23 |
| Oct 31 | @ Texas | L 20-34 18% ✓ | L 3-31 |
| Nov 7 | vs Vanderbilt | W 34-27 69% | — |
| Nov 13 | vs Auburn | L 27-28 50% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 55-17 99% | — |
| Nov 27 | @ Ole Miss | L 24-38 17% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Mississippi State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
SEC by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | 6-2 | +22.6 |
| 2 | Georgia | 7-1 | +21.8 |
| 3 | LSU | 6-2 | +21 |
| 4 | Texas | 6-2 | +20 |
| 5 | Ole Miss | 6-2 | +19.3 |
| 6 | Tennessee | 6-2 | +15.6 |
| 7 | Texas A&M | 4-4 | +13.4 |
| 8 | Missouri | 6-2 | +13.2 |
| 9 | South Carolina | 5-3 | +12.3 |
| 10 | Florida | 5-3 | +11.5 |
| 11 | Kentucky | 7-1 | +10.5 |
| 12 | Oklahoma | 4-4 | +9.8 |
| 13 | Auburn | 4-4 | +7.8 |
| 14 | Mississippi State | 4-4 | +6.7 |
| 15 | Vanderbilt | 3-5 | +2.2 |
| 16 | Arkansas | 3-5 | +0.6 |
High schools on the Mississippi State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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