Texas State Football
Texas State is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Pac-12, based in San Marcos, TX. The 2026 record stands at 4-4. The Cooper Predictor rates Texas State at +1, No. 69 of 138 FBS teams and No. 3 of 8 in the Pac-12. The model projects a 6-5 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 6-2 in Texas State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Boise State 45-46 on Oct 31. Next up: at Oregon State on Nov 7 — the model projects Oregon State 38-31, giving Texas State a 38% chance to win.
Open Texas State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | @ Texas | L 21-42 11% ✓ | L 7-59 |
| Sep 12 | vs UTSA | L 34-35 42% ✓ | L 26-31 |
| Sep 19 | vs North Texas | L 31-45 21% ✗ | W 49-35 |
| Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word | W 41-21 91% ✓ | W 63-10 |
| Oct 3 | @ San Diego State | W 27-24 53% ✗ | L 29-31 |
| Oct 15 | vs Colorado State | W 42-34 70% ✓ | W 66-27 |
| Oct 24 | vs Utah State | W 31-24 71% ✓ | W 20-17 |
| Oct 31 | @ Boise State | L 27-38 22% ✓ | L 45-46 |
| Nov 7 | @ Oregon State | L 31-38 38% | — |
| Nov 14 | vs Fresno State | W 31-28 58% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs Washington State | W 34-24 74% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Texas State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Pac-12 by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boise State | 7-1 | +8.6 |
| 2 |  Oregon State | 5-3 | +3.1 |
| 3 | Texas State | 4-4 | +1 |
| 4 |  Fresno State | 5-3 | +0.8 |
| 5 |  Utah State | 3-5 | -4.3 |
| 6 |  Washington State | 1-8 | -6 |
| 7 |  San Diego State | 4-5 | -8.4 |
| 8 |  Colorado State | 3-5 | -11.1 |
High schools on the Texas State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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