Troy Football
Troy is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Sun Belt, based in Troy, AL. The 2026 record stands at 4-4. The Cooper Predictor rates Troy at -8.9, No. 104 of 138 FBS teams and No. 9 of 14 in the Sun Belt. The model projects a 4-8 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 5-3 in Troy games this season. Most recent result: beat James Madison 24-21 on Oct 29. Next up: vs Louisiana Tech on Nov 7 — the model projects Louisiana Tech 24-21, giving Troy a 36% chance to win.
Open Troy in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston | W 34-17 87% ✓ | W 24-21 |
| Sep 12 | vs Alabama State | W 45-17 98% ✓ | W 34-17 |
| Sep 19 | @ Missouri | L 13-38 8% ✓ | L 17-27 |
| Sep 26 | @ Utah State | L 21-24 41% ✓ | L 10-21 |
| Oct 6 | vs Southern Miss | W 31-21 75% ✓ | W 55-34 |
| Oct 17 | @ Louisiana | W 27-24 50% ✗ | L 6-33 |
| Oct 24 | vs UL Monroe | W 35-17 87% ✗ | L 14-21 |
| Oct 29 | @ James Madison | L 14-41 8% ✗ | W 24-21 |
| Nov 7 | vs Louisiana Tech | L 21-24 36% | — |
| Nov 13 | @ South Alabama | L 28-31 41% | — |
| Nov 20 | vs Georgia Southern | L 24-27 46% | — |
| Nov 28 | @ Arkansas State | L 24-28 42% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Troy's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Sun Belt by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  James Madison | 7-2 | +7 |
| 2 |  Louisiana Tech | 6-2 | -0.7 |
| 3 |  Louisiana | 5-3 | -4.4 |
| 4 |  Georgia Southern | 4-4 | -4.6 |
| 5 |  App State | 5-3 | -7.9 |
| 6 |  South Alabama | 4-4 | -8.4 |
| 7 |  Coastal Carolina | 3-5 | -8.6 |
| 8 |  Arkansas State | 4-4 | -8.7 |
| 9 | Troy | 4-4 | -8.9 |
| 10 |  Georgia State | 4-4 | -8.9 |
| 11 |  Marshall | 5-3 | -10.8 |
| 12 |  Old Dominion | 2-7 | -12.3 |
| 13 |  Southern Miss | 3-5 | -14 |
| 14 |  UL Monroe | 1-7 | -22.6 |
High schools on the Troy roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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