Dayton Football
Dayton is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the Pioneer, based in Dayton, OH. The 2026 record stands at 7-1. The Cooper Predictor rates Dayton at +0.5, No. 64 of 127 FCS teams and No. 3 of 11 in the Pioneer. The model projects a 10-1 finish, with Playoff Odds of 78.8%. The model's pre-game picks are 5-2 in Dayton games this season. Most recent result: beat Stetson 44-34 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Valparaiso on Nov 7 — the model projects Dayton 24-14, giving Dayton a 78% chance to win.
Open Dayton in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs Fairmont State | no pick on record | W 43-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Thomas More | W 41-10 96% ✓ | W 30-7 |
| Sep 19 | @ Eastern Kentucky | W 27-24 50% ✓ | W 17-14 |
| Oct 3 | @ Drake | W 27-24 57% ✗ | L 22-30 |
| Oct 10 | vs Morehead State | W 35-13 93% ✓ | W 56-28 |
| Oct 17 | @ Butler | L 21-28 34% ✗ | W 19-9 |
| Oct 24 | vs San Diego | W 31-21 78% ✓ | W 37-32 |
| Oct 31 | @ Stetson | W 41-17 94% ✓ | W 44-34 |
| Nov 7 | vs Valparaiso | W 24-14 78% | — |
| Nov 14 | vs Davidson | W 41-13 96% | — |
| Nov 21 | @ Presbyterian | W 28-24 72% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Dayton's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Pioneer by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Butler | 8-2 | +3.4 |
| 2 |  St. Thomas (MN) | 7-2 | +2.8 |
| 3 | Dayton | 7-1 | +0.5 |
| 4 |  Drake | 3-6 | -5.9 |
| 5 |  San Diego | 4-5 | -6.9 |
| 6 |  Marist | 4-5 | -7.2 |
| 7 |  Valparaiso | 4-4 | -7.8 |
| 8 |  Presbyterian | 4-5 | -10.3 |
| 9 |  Morehead State | 2-7 | -21.2 |
| 10 |  Davidson | 3-6 | -23.9 |
| 11 |  Stetson | 1-8 | -24.2 |
High schools on the Dayton roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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