East Tennessee State Football
East Tennessee State is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the Southern, based in Johnson City, TN. East Tennessee State moved up to FCS in 2026. The 2026 record stands at 6-3. The Cooper Predictor rates East Tennessee State at +9.1, No. 23 of 127 FCS teams and No. 3 of 10 in the Southern. The model projects an 8-4 finish, with Playoff Odds of 40.6%. The model's pre-game picks are 6-1 in East Tennessee State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Tennessee Tech 17-24 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Samford on Nov 7 — the model projects East Tennessee State 31-20, giving East Tennessee State a 82% chance to win.
Open East Tennessee State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs Campbell | no pick on record | L 37-49 |
| Sep 5 | vs Tusculum | no pick on record | W 48-14 |
| Sep 12 | @ North Carolina | L 17-52 1% ✓ | L 3-35 |
| Sep 19 | vs West Georgia | W 34-24 80% ✓ | W 35-27 |
| Sep 26 | vs Western Carolina | L 31-34 47% ✗ | W 58-31 |
| Oct 3 | vs Chattanooga | W 27-24 56% ✓ | W 14-3 |
| Oct 10 | @ The Citadel | W 31-27 71% ✓ | W 34-16 |
| Oct 24 | @ VMI | W 45-14 98% ✓ | W 38-0 |
| Oct 31 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 31-34 47% ✓ | L 17-24 |
| Nov 7 | vs Samford | W 31-20 82% | — |
| Nov 14 | @ Wofford | W 28-27 58% | — |
| Nov 21 | @ Mercer | L 24-31 33% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and East Tennessee State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Southern by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tennessee Tech | 8-1 | +13.7 |
| 2 |  Mercer | 7-2 | +13.1 |
| 3 | East Tennessee State | 6-3 | +9.1 |
| 4 |  Chattanooga | 6-3 | +8.4 |
| 5 |  Western Carolina | 4-5 | +5.9 |
| 6 |  Wofford | 5-4 | +4.1 |
| 7 |  Furman | 2-7 | +3 |
| 8 |  Samford | 3-6 | -0.9 |
| 9 |  The Citadel | 2-7 | -1.6 |
| 10 |  VMI | 0-9 | -22.2 |
High schools on the East Tennessee State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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