Tarleton State Football
Tarleton State is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the UAC, based in Stephenville, TX. Tarleton State moved up to FCS in 2026. The 2026 record stands at 9-0. The Cooper Predictor rates Tarleton State at +15.3, No. 8 of 127 FCS teams and No. 1 of 8 in the UAC. The model projects a 12-0 finish, with Playoff Odds of 98.8%. The model's pre-game picks are 5-2 in Tarleton State games this season. Most recent result: beat Eastern Kentucky 28-24 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Abilene Christian on Nov 7 — the model projects Tarleton State 34-31, giving Tarleton State a 63% chance to win.
Open Tarleton State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs Prairie View A&M | no pick on record | W 49-30 |
| Sep 5 | @ Bowling Green | L 27-31 32% ✗ | W 20-13 |
| Sep 12 | @ McNeese | W 38-21 85% ✓ | W 27-24 |
| Sep 19 | vs Merrimack | W 42-13 97% ✓ | W 45-20 |
| Oct 3 | vs Chicago State | no pick on record | W 56-21 |
| Oct 10 | @ Austin Peay | L 31-34 45% ✗ | W 40-32 |
| Oct 17 | vs Central Arkansas | W 41-24 91% ✓ | W 49-35 |
| Oct 24 | @ West Georgia | W 38-24 83% ✓ | W 49-6 |
| Oct 31 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 41-21 91% ✓ | W 28-24 |
| Nov 7 | vs Abilene Christian | W 34-31 63% | — |
| Nov 14 | @ West Florida | W 35-31 66% | — |
| Nov 21 | @ North Alabama | W 34-27 72% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Tarleton State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
UAC by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarleton State | 9-0 | +15.3 |
| 2 |  Austin Peay | 7-2 | +13.7 |
| 3 |  Abilene Christian | 5-4 | +13.6 |
| 4 |  West Florida | 4-3 | +7.7 |
| 5 |  North Alabama | 5-4 | +5.6 |
| 6 |  Eastern Kentucky | 3-6 | +1 |
| 7 |  Central Arkansas | 2-7 | +0.7 |
| 8 |  West Georgia | 1-8 | -6.1 |
High schools on the Tarleton State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
Get the rankings & picks every week
Free. One email a week during the season with the updated rankings, the Super Six and the biggest movers. Unsubscribe anytime.
More college football
NCAA Division I FCS power rankings · Every division · Weekly predictions & matchup predictor