Tennessee State Football
Tennessee State is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the OVC, based in Nashville, TN. The 2026 record stands at 2-7. The Cooper Predictor rates Tennessee State at -9.3, No. 110 of 127 FCS teams and No. 8 of 8 in the OVC. The model projects a 2-10 finish, with Playoff Odds of 0.6%. The model's pre-game picks are 5-3 in Tennessee State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Lindenwood 0-27 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Southeast Missouri State on Nov 7 — the model projects Southeast Missouri State 27-14, giving Tennessee State a 21% chance to win.
Open Tennessee State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs Jackson State | no pick on record | L 24-26 |
| Sep 5 | @ Georgia | L 0-45 0% ✓ | L 3-63 |
| Sep 12 | @ Alabama A&M | W 27-21 59% ✗ | L 3-30 |
| Sep 19 | @ Florida A&M | L 17-24 32% ✗ | W 29-26 |
| Oct 3 | @ Western Illinois | L 17-31 16% ✓ | L 21-28 |
| Oct 10 | vs UT Martin | L 17-24 25% ✓ | L 28-42 |
| Oct 17 | vs Morgan State | L 24-27 44% ✗ | W 25-16 |
| Oct 24 | vs Charleston Southern | L 17-27 21% ✓ | L 7-20 |
| Oct 31 | @ Lindenwood | L 17-28 22% ✓ | L 0-27 |
| Nov 7 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 14-27 21% | — |
| Nov 14 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 17-24 33% | — |
| Nov 21 | @ Gardner-Webb | L 10-27 12% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Tennessee State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
OVC by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleston Southern | 5-5 | +6.2 |
| 2 |  Gardner-Webb | 3-6 | +5.4 |
| 3 |  Southeast Missouri State | 5-4 | +3.7 |
| 4 |  Western Illinois | 5-4 | +2.6 |
| 5 |  Lindenwood | 4-4 | +1.8 |
| 6 |  Eastern Illinois | 3-6 | -1.3 |
| 7 |  UT Martin | 3-6 | -2.6 |
| 8 | Tennessee State | 2-7 | -9.3 |
High schools on the Tennessee State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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NCAA Division I FCS power rankings · Every division · Weekly predictions & matchup predictor