El Capitan (Merced) Football
El Capitan (Merced) is a California high school football program (Central California - CCC, CIF). The 2026 record stands at 1-8. The Cooper Predictor rates El Capitan (Merced) at -16.9, No. 743 of 1045 rated California teams and No. 5 of 6 in Central California - CCC. The model projects a 2-8 finish, with league title odds of 0.0%. The model's pre-game picks are 8-1 in El Capitan (Merced) games this season. Most recent result: lost to Merced 8-49 on Oct 30. Next up: vs Buhach Colony on Nov 6 — the model projects El Capitan (Merced) 27-17, giving El Capitan (Merced) a 72% chance to win.
Open El Capitan (Merced) in the interactive model →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · Power ratings are calibrated within each state, so a rating from one state can't be compared directly with another's.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | @ Grace Davis | L 17-27 36% ✓ | L 28-43 |
| Sep 4 | vs Central Valley (Ceres) | W 31-21 66% ✗ | L 20-41 |
| Sep 12 | @ Sacred Heart Prep | L 13-45 5% ✓ | L 6-45 |
| Sep 18 | @ Patterson | L 6-48 1% ✓ | L 6-47 |
| Sep 25 | vs Modesto | W 31-21 68% ✓ | W 48-15 |
| Oct 9 | vs Golden Valley (Merced) | L 24-34 30% ✓ | L 21-33 |
| Oct 16 | @ Los Banos | L 10-38 7% ✓ | L 15-38 |
| Oct 23 | vs Atwater | L 17-35 17% ✓ | L 0-34 |
| Oct 30 | @ Merced | L 10-55 1% ✓ | L 8-49 |
| Nov 6 | vs Buhach Colony | W 27-17 72% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and El Capitan (Merced)'s win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
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