
Florida State Football
Florida State is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the ACC, based in Tallahassee, FL. The 2026 record stands at 3-5. The Cooper Predictor rates Florida State at +6.1, No. 44 of 138 FBS teams and No. 7 of 17 in the ACC. The model projects a 5-7 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 3-3 in Florida State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Clemson 24-36 on Oct 31. Next up: at Boston College on Nov 7 — the model projects Florida State 31-24, giving Florida State a 72% chance to win.
Open Florida State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs New Mexico State | no pick on record | W 34-17 |
| Sep 7 | vs SMU | no pick on record | L 24-27 |
| Sep 19 | @ Alabama | L 17-35 14% ✓ | L 36-50 |
| Sep 26 | vs Central Arkansas | W 49-13 99% ✓ | W 34-7 |
| Oct 3 | vs Virginia | L 24-28 43% ✗ | W 38-7 |
| Oct 9 | @ Louisville | W 31-28 50% ✗ | L 20-44 |
| Oct 17 | @ Miami | L 17-38 11% ✓ | L 35-43 |
| Oct 31 | vs Clemson | W 31-21 71% ✗ | L 24-36 |
| Nov 7 | @ Boston College | W 31-24 72% | — |
| Nov 13 | @ Pittsburgh | L 27-31 39% | — |
| Nov 20 | vs NC State | W 34-27 69% | — |
| Nov 27 | vs Florida | L 31-34 43% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Florida State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
ACC by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami | 8-0 | +23.7 |
| 2 | Wake Forest | 7-1 | +14.2 |
| 3 | Louisville | 5-3 | +12.6 |
| 4 | Duke | 6-2 | +8.8 |
| 5 | SMU | 6-2 | +7.9 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 6-3 | +7.6 |
| 7 | Florida State | 3-5 | +6.1 |
| 8 | Clemson | 5-3 | +4.8 |
| 9 | North Carolina | 4-4 | +4.7 |
| 10 | Virginia | 4-5 | +2.7 |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | 6-2 | +2.2 |
| 12 | NC State | 4-4 | +1.8 |
| 13 | Syracuse | 4-4 | -0.4 |
| 14 | Georgia Tech | 2-6 | -3.6 |
| 15 | Boston College | 4-4 | -5.7 |
| 16 | California | 3-6 | -8.3 |
| 17 | Stanford | 4-5 | -9.2 |
High schools on the Florida State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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