New Mexico State Football
New Mexico State is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Conference USA, based in Las Cruces, NM. The 2026 record stands at 3-5. The Cooper Predictor rates New Mexico State at -15.6, No. 126 of 138 FBS teams and No. 8 of 10 in the Conference USA. The model projects a 4-8 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 6-1 in New Mexico State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Jacksonville State 0-24 on Oct 28. Next up: vs Liberty on Nov 7 — the model projects Liberty 34-17, giving New Mexico State a 15% chance to win.
Open New Mexico State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | @ Florida State | no pick on record | L 17-34 |
| Sep 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 38-7 98% ✓ | W 51-14 |
| Sep 12 | @ Hawai'i | L 24-31 34% ✓ | L 19-29 |
| Sep 26 | vs New Mexico | L 17-34 16% ✓ | L 18-42 |
| Oct 1 | vs Western Kentucky | L 27-28 48% ✗ | W 34-13 |
| Oct 7 | @ Florida International | L 20-24 40% ✓ | L 3-22 |
| Oct 21 | @ Sam Houston | W 24-21 50% ✓ | W 30-24 |
| Oct 28 | vs Jacksonville State | L 27-28 45% ✓ | L 0-24 |
| Nov 7 | vs Liberty | L 17-34 15% | — |
| Nov 14 | @ Missouri State | L 27-31 40% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs Delaware | L 27-31 42% | — |
| Nov 28 | @ Middle Tennessee | W 28-27 50% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and New Mexico State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Conference USA by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liberty | 7-1 | +3 |
| 2 |  Jacksonville State | 6-2 | -6.6 |
| 3 |  Delaware | 4-4 | -9.7 |
| 4 |  Kennesaw State | 2-6 | -10.4 |
| 5 |  Florida International | 3-5 | -12.3 |
| 6 |  Western Kentucky | 3-5 | -13.8 |
| 7 |  Missouri State | 3-5 | -14.8 |
| 8 | New Mexico State | 3-5 | -15.6 |
| 9 |  Middle Tennessee | 4-4 | -16.9 |
| 10 |  Sam Houston | 1-7 | -18.8 |
High schools on the New Mexico State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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