Toledo Football
Toledo is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Mid-American, based in Toledo, OH. The 2026 record stands at 6-2. The Cooper Predictor rates Toledo at -1.7, No. 76 of 138 FBS teams and No. 1 of 13 in the Mid-American. The model projects a 10-2 finish, with CFP Odds of 3.4%. The model's pre-game picks are 6-2 in Toledo games this season. Most recent result: beat Western Michigan 45-38 on Oct 24. Next up: at Sacramento State on Nov 4 — the model projects Toledo 41-20, giving Toledo a 87% chance to win.
Open Toledo in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | @ Michigan State | W 27-24 52% ✗ | L 20-30 |
| Sep 12 | vs Central Connecticut | W 55-7 100% ✓ | W 63-10 |
| Sep 19 | vs Temple | W 34-21 80% ✓ | W 49-48 |
| Sep 26 | vs San Diego State | W 28-20 70% ✓ | W 41-16 |
| Oct 3 | @ Ball State | W 42-20 92% ✓ | W 39-24 |
| Oct 10 | vs Buffalo | W 48-21 92% ✗ | L 8-23 |
| Oct 17 | @ Eastern Michigan | W 34-24 71% ✓ | W 34-14 |
| Oct 24 | vs Western Michigan | W 28-24 60% ✓ | W 45-38 |
| Nov 4 | @ Sacramento State | W 41-20 87% | — |
| Nov 10 | vs Massachusetts | W 38-21 87% | — |
| Nov 20 | vs Bowling Green | W 38-21 86% | — |
| Nov 27 | @ Ohio | W 34-31 50% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Toledo's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Mid-American by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toledo | 6-2 | -1.7 |
| 2 |  Western Michigan | 6-3 | -4 |
| 3 |  Ohio | 6-2 | -4.7 |
| 4 |  Miami (OH) | 5-3 | -8.4 |
| 5 |  Central Michigan | 3-5 | -13 |
| 6 |  Buffalo | 5-3 | -14 |
| 7 |  Eastern Michigan | 4-5 | -14.8 |
| 8 |  Bowling Green | 2-7 | -16.2 |
| 9 |  Massachusetts | 4-4 | -16.9 |
| 10 |  Ball State | 3-5 | -19.1 |
| 11 |  Akron | 1-7 | -20.5 |
| 12 |  Kent State | 3-6 | -21.8 |
| 13 |  Sacramento State | 2-7 | -22.7 |
High schools on the Toledo roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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