
Sacramento State Football
Sacramento State is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Mid-American, based in Sacramento, CA. Sacramento State moved up to FBS in 2026. The 2026 record stands at 2-7. The Cooper Predictor rates Sacramento State at -22.7, No. 137 of 138 FBS teams and No. 13 of 13 in the Mid-American. The model projects a 2-10 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 6-2 in Sacramento State games this season. Most recent result: beat Kent State 31-10 on Oct 30. Next up: vs Toledo on Nov 4 — the model projects Toledo 41-20, giving Sacramento State a 13% chance to win.
Open Sacramento State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | @ Eastern Michigan | no pick on record | L 17-28 |
| Sep 5 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 52-10 100% ✓ | W 52-0 |
| Sep 12 | @ Fresno State | L 20-27 30% ✓ | L 3-49 |
| Sep 19 | vs North Dakota State | L 17-38 12% ✓ | L 10-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Massachusetts | W 34-24 73% ✗ | L 6-35 |
| Oct 10 | @ Bowling Green | L 24-27 39% ✓ | L 10-38 |
| Oct 17 | vs Ohio | L 20-34 21% ✓ | L 7-48 |
| Oct 24 | @ Ball State | L 27-34 33% ✓ | L 17-34 |
| Oct 30 | vs Kent State | L 24-27 44% ✗ | W 31-10 |
| Nov 4 | vs Toledo | L 20-41 13% | — |
| Nov 11 | @ Central Michigan | L 20-31 20% | — |
| Nov 28 | @ Hawai'i | L 17-34 16% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Sacramento State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Mid-American by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toledo | 6-2 | -1.7 |
| 2 | Western Michigan | 6-3 | -4 |
| 3 | Ohio | 6-2 | -4.7 |
| 4 | Miami (OH) | 5-3 | -8.4 |
| 5 | Central Michigan | 3-5 | -13 |
| 6 | Buffalo | 5-3 | -14 |
| 7 | Eastern Michigan | 4-5 | -14.8 |
| 8 | Bowling Green | 2-7 | -16.2 |
| 9 | Massachusetts | 4-4 | -16.9 |
| 10 | Ball State | 3-5 | -19.1 |
| 11 | Akron | 1-7 | -20.5 |
| 12 | Kent State | 3-6 | -21.8 |
| 13 | Sacramento State | 2-7 | -22.7 |
High schools on the Sacramento State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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