Mercyhurst Football
Mercyhurst is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the NEC, based in Erie, PA. Mercyhurst moved up to FCS in 2026. The 2026 record stands at 1-8. The Cooper Predictor rates Mercyhurst at -8.3, No. 104 of 127 FCS teams and No. 6 of 8 in the NEC. The model projects a 3-9 finish, with Playoff Odds of 0.0%. The model's pre-game picks are 7-0 in Mercyhurst games this season. Most recent result: lost to Stonehill 28-34 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Wagner on Nov 7 — the model projects Mercyhurst 31-21, giving Mercyhurst a 77% chance to win.
Open Mercyhurst in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | @ Youngstown State | no pick on record | L 10-43 |
| Sep 5 | @ New Mexico State | L 7-38 2% ✓ | L 14-51 |
| Sep 12 | @ New Mexico | L 7-42 1% ✓ | L 7-70 |
| Sep 19 | vs Glenville State | no pick on record | W 49-20 |
| Sep 26 | @ Western Kentucky | L 10-48 1% ✓ | L 7-52 |
| Oct 3 | @ Long Island University | L 24-27 43% ✓ | L 24-27 |
| Oct 17 | vs Central Connecticut | L 27-31 32% ✓ | L 40-43 |
| Oct 24 | @ Robert Morris | L 24-31 39% ✓ | L 14-28 |
| Oct 31 | @ Stonehill | L 21-27 37% ✓ | L 28-34 |
| Nov 7 | vs Wagner | W 31-21 77% | — |
| Nov 14 | @ Duquesne | L 24-38 20% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs New Haven | W 28-24 61% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Mercyhurst's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
NEC by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Central Connecticut | 5-3 | +3.3 |
| 2 |  Duquesne | 4-4 | +1.3 |
| 3 |  Long Island University | 3-6 | -4.8 |
| 4 |  Stonehill | 4-5 | -5.2 |
| 5 |  Robert Morris | 4-5 | -7.3 |
| 6 | Mercyhurst | 1-8 | -8.3 |
| 7 |  New Haven | 2-7 | -9.4 |
| 8 |  Wagner | 1-8 | -15.6 |
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