Missouri State Football
Missouri State is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Conference USA, based in Springfield, MO. Missouri State moved up to FBS in 2026. The 2026 record stands at 3-5. The Cooper Predictor rates Missouri State at -14.8, No. 123 of 138 FBS teams and No. 7 of 10 in the Conference USA. The model projects a 4-8 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 6-2 in Missouri State games this season. Most recent result: beat Sam Houston 24-3 on Oct 27. Next up: at Florida International on Nov 7 — the model projects Florida International 28-24, giving Missouri State a 36% chance to win.
Open Missouri State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | @ Texas A&M | L 13-45 4% ✓ | L 0-50 |
| Sep 12 | vs Lindenwood | W 48-17 98% ✓ | W 48-14 |
| Sep 19 | vs Marshall | L 28-31 50% ✓ | L 24-30 |
| Sep 26 | @ SMU | L 10-42 5% ✓ | L 24-34 |
| Oct 8 | @ Western Kentucky | W 31-28 50% ✗ | L 13-34 |
| Oct 14 | vs Kennesaw State | L 24-28 38% ✗ | W 24-21 |
| Oct 20 | @ Delaware | L 27-31 37% ✓ | L 38-61 |
| Oct 27 | vs Sam Houston | W 31-27 60% ✓ | W 24-3 |
| Nov 7 | @ Florida International | L 24-28 36% | — |
| Nov 14 | vs New Mexico State | W 31-27 60% | — |
| Nov 21 | @ Jacksonville State | L 24-34 24% | — |
| Nov 28 | vs Liberty | L 20-35 17% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Missouri State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Conference USA by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liberty | 7-1 | +3 |
| 2 |  Jacksonville State | 6-2 | -6.6 |
| 3 |  Delaware | 4-4 | -9.7 |
| 4 |  Kennesaw State | 2-6 | -10.4 |
| 5 |  Florida International | 3-5 | -12.3 |
| 6 |  Western Kentucky | 3-5 | -13.8 |
| 7 | Missouri State | 3-5 | -14.8 |
| 8 |  New Mexico State | 3-5 | -15.6 |
| 9 |  Middle Tennessee | 4-4 | -16.9 |
| 10 |  Sam Houston | 1-7 | -18.8 |
High schools on the Missouri State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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