Middle Tennessee Football
Middle Tennessee is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Conference USA, based in Murfreesboro, TN. The 2026 record stands at 4-4. The Cooper Predictor rates Middle Tennessee at -16.9, No. 129 of 138 FBS teams and No. 9 of 10 in the Conference USA. The model projects a 5-7 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 5-3 in Middle Tennessee games this season. Most recent result: lost to Kennesaw State 28-44 on Oct 28. Next up: vs Western Kentucky on Nov 7 — the model projects Western Kentucky 31-28, giving Middle Tennessee a 49% chance to win.
Open Middle Tennessee in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | vs Murray State | W 45-13 99% ✓ | W 38-14 |
| Sep 12 | @ Marshall | L 24-35 21% ✓ | L 26-28 |
| Sep 19 | vs Nevada | L 24-27 37% ✗ | W 27-20 |
| Sep 26 | @ Jacksonville State | L 24-34 26% ✓ | L 13-23 |
| Oct 3 | @ Kansas | L 17-35 12% ✓ | L 0-55 |
| Oct 13 | vs Delaware | L 24-28 40% ✗ | W 33-30 |
| Oct 20 | @ Florida International | L 17-27 23% ✗ | W 26-23 |
| Oct 28 | vs Kennesaw State | L 24-27 46% ✓ | L 28-44 |
| Nov 7 | vs Western Kentucky | L 28-31 49% | — |
| Nov 14 | @ Liberty | L 14-41 8% | — |
| Nov 21 | @ Sam Houston | W 27-24 50% | — |
| Nov 28 | vs New Mexico State | L 27-28 50% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Middle Tennessee's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Conference USA by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liberty | 7-1 | +3 |
| 2 |  Jacksonville State | 6-2 | -6.6 |
| 3 |  Delaware | 4-4 | -9.7 |
| 4 |  Kennesaw State | 2-6 | -10.4 |
| 5 |  Florida International | 3-5 | -12.3 |
| 6 |  Western Kentucky | 3-5 | -13.8 |
| 7 |  Missouri State | 3-5 | -14.8 |
| 8 |  New Mexico State | 3-5 | -15.6 |
| 9 | Middle Tennessee | 4-4 | -16.9 |
| 10 |  Sam Houston | 1-7 | -18.8 |
High schools on the Middle Tennessee roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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