
North Dakota State Football
North Dakota State is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Mountain West, based in Fargo, ND. North Dakota State moved up to FBS in 2026. The 2026 record stands at 7-2. The Cooper Predictor rates North Dakota State at +3.4, No. 55 of 138 FBS teams and No. 2 of 10 in the Mountain West. The model projects a 10-2 finish, with CFP Odds of 12.0%. The model's pre-game picks are 7-1 in North Dakota State games this season. Most recent result: beat UTEP 31-7 on Oct 31. Next up: at Hawai'i on Nov 14 — the model projects North Dakota State 28-17, giving North Dakota State a 75% chance to win.
Open North Dakota State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs Jacksonville State | no pick on record | W 33-7 |
| Sep 5 | vs Fordham | W 49-3 100% ✓ | W 38-0 |
| Sep 12 | @ Air Force | W 35-21 79% ✓ | W 38-32 |
| Sep 19 | @ Sacramento State | W 38-17 88% ✓ | W 31-10 |
| Oct 3 | vs Wyoming | W 34-10 91% ✓ | W 28-0 |
| Oct 10 | @ UNLV | W 28-24 64% ✗ | L 7-13 |
| Oct 17 | vs Nevada | W 34-17 85% ✓ | W 31-17 |
| Oct 24 | @ New Mexico | L 24-28 37% ✓ | L 16-21 |
| Oct 31 | vs UTEP | W 42-10 96% ✓ | W 31-7 |
| Nov 14 | @ Hawai'i | W 28-17 75% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs Northern Illinois | W 38-13 94% | — |
| Nov 27 | @ San José State | W 28-17 76% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and North Dakota State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Mountain West by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico | 7-1 | +4.9 |
| 2 | North Dakota State | 7-2 | +3.4 |
| 3 | UNLV | 5-3 | -4.5 |
| 4 | Air Force | 6-2 | -5.4 |
| 5 | Nevada | 3-5 | -8.3 |
| 6 | Hawai'i | 2-6 | -9.9 |
| 7 | San José State | 4-5 | -10.4 |
| 8 | Wyoming | 5-3 | -11.2 |
| 9 | Northern Illinois | 0-8 | -19.9 |
| 10 | UTEP | 1-7 | -23.4 |
High schools on the North Dakota State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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