Nevada Football
Nevada is an NCAA Division I FBS football program in the Mountain West, based in Reno, NV. The 2026 record stands at 3-5. The Cooper Predictor rates Nevada at -8.3, No. 97 of 138 FBS teams and No. 5 of 10 in the Mountain West. The model projects a 5-7 finish, with CFP Odds of 0.2%. The model's pre-game picks are 5-3 in Nevada games this season. Most recent result: lost to UCLA 0-27 on Oct 31. Next up: vs New Mexico on Nov 6 — the model projects New Mexico 31-21, giving Nevada a 26% chance to win.
Open Nevada in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FBS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | vs Western Kentucky | L 24-27 42% ✗ | W 49-14 |
| Sep 12 | vs Montana State | W 35-24 78% ✗ | L 7-20 |
| Sep 19 | @ Middle Tennessee | W 27-24 63% ✗ | L 20-27 |
| Sep 26 | vs Air Force | L 27-28 49% ✓ | L 33-36 |
| Oct 10 | @ UTEP | W 35-24 74% ✓ | W 30-13 |
| Oct 17 | @ North Dakota State | L 17-34 15% ✓ | L 17-31 |
| Oct 24 | vs San José State | W 28-24 64% ✓ | W 28-13 |
| Oct 31 | @ UCLA | L 13-38 8% ✓ | L 0-27 |
| Nov 6 | vs New Mexico | L 21-31 26% | — |
| Nov 13 | @ Northern Illinois | W 34-24 72% | — |
| Nov 20 | vs Hawai'i | W 27-24 62% | — |
| Nov 28 | @ UNLV | L 21-28 34% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Nevada's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Mountain West by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  New Mexico | 7-1 | +4.9 |
| 2 |  North Dakota State | 7-2 | +3.4 |
| 3 |  UNLV | 5-3 | -4.5 |
| 4 |  Air Force | 6-2 | -5.4 |
| 5 | Nevada | 3-5 | -8.3 |
| 6 |  Hawai'i | 2-6 | -9.9 |
| 7 |  San José State | 4-5 | -10.4 |
| 8 |  Wyoming | 5-3 | -11.2 |
| 9 |  Northern Illinois | 0-8 | -19.9 |
| 10 |  UTEP | 1-7 | -23.4 |
High schools on the Nevada roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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