Cal Poly Football
Cal Poly is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the Big Sky, based in San Luis Obispo, CA. The 2026 record stands at 4-6. The Cooper Predictor rates Cal Poly at -3.3, No. 79 of 127 FCS teams and No. 11 of 13 in the Big Sky. The model projects a 4-8 finish, with Playoff Odds of 0.6%. The model's pre-game picks are 3-6 in Cal Poly games this season. Most recent result: lost to Montana State 7-61 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Northern Arizona on Nov 7 — the model projects Northern Arizona 34-24, giving Cal Poly a 22% chance to win.
Open Cal Poly in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | vs Idaho | no pick on record | W 38-34 |
| Sep 5 | vs Central Washington | L 27-35 37% ✗ | W 24-17 |
| Sep 12 | @ San José State | L 21-38 11% ✓ | L 20-30 |
| Sep 19 | vs San Diego | W 38-24 80% ✗ | L 35-38 |
| Sep 26 | @ Eastern Washington | L 24-31 30% ✗ | W 31-27 |
| Oct 3 | vs Weber State | W 34-27 68% ✗ | L 34-42 |
| Oct 10 | @ Idaho State | L 21-34 18% ✗ | W 25-24 |
| Oct 17 | @ Northern Colorado | L 24-27 49% ✓ | L 18-28 |
| Oct 24 | vs Utah Tech | W 31-17 85% ✗ | L 26-43 |
| Oct 31 | @ Montana State | L 13-42 4% ✓ | L 7-61 |
| Nov 7 | vs Northern Arizona | L 24-34 22% | — |
| Nov 21 | @ UC Davis | L 21-31 24% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Cal Poly's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Big Sky by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montana State | 8-1 | +25.4 |
| 2 |  Montana | 6-3 | +14.8 |
| 3 |  Northern Arizona | 7-2 | +9.9 |
| 4 |  Idaho State | 6-3 | +9.1 |
| 5 |  Idaho | 4-5 | +7.7 |
| 6 |  Southern Utah | 3-6 | +6.8 |
| 7 |  UC Davis | 5-4 | +4.4 |
| 8 |  Weber State | 6-4 | +4 |
| 9 |  Eastern Washington | 2-7 | +0.8 |
| 10 |  Northern Colorado | 3-6 | -1.4 |
| 11 | Cal Poly | 4-6 | -3.3 |
| 12 |  Portland State | 2-7 | -7.3 |
| 13 |  Utah Tech | 1-8 | -8.1 |
High schools on the Cal Poly roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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