Montana State Football
Montana State is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the Big Sky, based in Bozeman, MT. The 2026 record stands at 8-1. The Cooper Predictor rates Montana State at +25.4, No. 1 of 127 FCS teams and No. 1 of 13 in the Big Sky. The model projects an 11-1 finish, with Playoff Odds of 97.5%. The model's pre-game picks are 6-2 in Montana State games this season. Most recent result: beat Cal Poly 61-7 on Oct 31. Next up: at Idaho State on Nov 7 — the model projects Montana State 34-17, giving Montana State a 84% chance to win.
Open Montana State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | @ Utah Tech | no pick on record | W 54-0 |
| Sep 5 | vs Butler | W 45-7 99% ✓ | W 51-24 |
| Sep 12 | @ Nevada | L 24-35 22% ✗ | W 20-7 |
| Sep 19 | vs Central Connecticut | W 49-13 98% ✓ | W 35-30 |
| Sep 26 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-17 92% ✓ | W 28-14 |
| Oct 2 | @ Idaho | W 38-20 91% ✗ | L 34-35 |
| Oct 17 | @ Eastern Washington | W 38-17 88% ✓ | W 56-20 |
| Oct 24 | vs Weber State | W 45-17 95% ✓ | W 38-33 |
| Oct 31 | vs Cal Poly | W 42-13 96% ✓ | W 61-7 |
| Nov 7 | @ Idaho State | W 34-17 84% | — |
| Nov 14 | @ Northern Colorado | W 35-10 95% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs Montana | W 38-24 81% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Montana State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Big Sky by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana State | 8-1 | +25.4 |
| 2 |  Montana | 6-3 | +14.8 |
| 3 |  Northern Arizona | 7-2 | +9.9 |
| 4 |  Idaho State | 6-3 | +9.1 |
| 5 |  Idaho | 4-5 | +7.7 |
| 6 |  Southern Utah | 3-6 | +6.8 |
| 7 |  UC Davis | 5-4 | +4.4 |
| 8 |  Weber State | 6-4 | +4 |
| 9 |  Eastern Washington | 2-7 | +0.8 |
| 10 |  Northern Colorado | 3-6 | -1.4 |
| 11 |  Cal Poly | 4-6 | -3.3 |
| 12 |  Portland State | 2-7 | -7.3 |
| 13 |  Utah Tech | 1-8 | -8.1 |
High schools on the Montana State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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