Northern Arizona Football
Northern Arizona is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the Big Sky, based in Flagstaff, AZ. The 2026 record stands at 7-2. The Cooper Predictor rates Northern Arizona at +9.9, No. 21 of 127 FCS teams and No. 3 of 13 in the Big Sky. The model projects a 10-2 finish, with Playoff Odds of 85.6%. The model's pre-game picks are 5-3 in Northern Arizona games this season. Most recent result: beat Southern Utah 34-27 on Oct 31. Next up: at Cal Poly on Nov 7 — the model projects Northern Arizona 34-24, giving Northern Arizona a 78% chance to win.
Open Northern Arizona in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs Eastern Washington | no pick on record | W 34-27 |
| Sep 5 | @ Arizona | L 6-38 2% ✓ | L 7-35 |
| Sep 12 | vs Incarnate Word | W 28-27 57% ✓ | W 38-28 |
| Sep 19 | @ Utah Tech | W 34-17 87% ✓ | W 35-23 |
| Sep 26 | @ Montana State | L 17-38 8% ✓ | L 14-28 |
| Oct 3 | @ Idaho State | L 21-31 30% ✗ | W 38-31 |
| Oct 10 | vs Montana | L 24-28 30% ✗ | W 49-44 |
| Oct 17 | vs Portland State | W 38-20 90% ✓ | W 38-25 |
| Oct 31 | @ Southern Utah | L 28-31 48% ✗ | W 34-27 |
| Nov 7 | @ Cal Poly | W 34-24 78% | — |
| Nov 14 | vs Weber State | W 35-27 72% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs Northern Colorado | W 31-14 85% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Northern Arizona's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Big Sky by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montana State | 8-1 | +25.4 |
| 2 |  Montana | 6-3 | +14.8 |
| 3 | Northern Arizona | 7-2 | +9.9 |
| 4 |  Idaho State | 6-3 | +9.1 |
| 5 |  Idaho | 4-5 | +7.7 |
| 6 |  Southern Utah | 3-6 | +6.8 |
| 7 |  UC Davis | 5-4 | +4.4 |
| 8 |  Weber State | 6-4 | +4 |
| 9 |  Eastern Washington | 2-7 | +0.8 |
| 10 |  Northern Colorado | 3-6 | -1.4 |
| 11 |  Cal Poly | 4-6 | -3.3 |
| 12 |  Portland State | 2-7 | -7.3 |
| 13 |  Utah Tech | 1-8 | -8.1 |
High schools on the Northern Arizona roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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