North Dakota Football
North Dakota is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the MVFC, based in Grand Forks, ND. The 2026 record stands at 6-4. The Cooper Predictor rates North Dakota at +17.5, No. 7 of 127 FCS teams and No. 5 of 9 in the MVFC. The model projects an 8-4 finish, with Playoff Odds of 40.7%. The model's pre-game picks are 7-2 in North Dakota games this season. Most recent result: lost to Youngstown State 28-31 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Illinois State on Nov 7 — the model projects North Dakota 28-27, giving North Dakota a 52% chance to win.
Open North Dakota in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | vs Long Island University | no pick on record | W 42-21 |
| Sep 5 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 35-17 89% ✓ | W 62-26 |
| Sep 12 | @ Portland State | W 42-17 94% ✓ | W 47-23 |
| Sep 19 | @ Nebraska | L 21-34 15% ✓ | L 7-34 |
| Sep 26 | @ Indiana State | W 38-24 83% ✓ | W 42-35 |
| Oct 3 | vs Murray State | W 45-13 98% ✓ | W 55-28 |
| Oct 10 | @ Northern Iowa | W 31-27 64% ✗ | L 17-24 |
| Oct 17 | vs South Dakota State | L 27-34 27% ✗ | W 21-10 |
| Oct 24 | @ South Dakota | L 28-31 38% ✓ | L 23-26 |
| Oct 31 | @ Youngstown State | L 28-35 29% ✓ | L 28-31 |
| Nov 7 | vs Illinois State | W 28-27 52% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs Southern Illinois | W 34-21 76% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and North Dakota's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
MVFC by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Dakota State | 7-2 | +23.9 |
| 2 |  Youngstown State | 7-2 | +21.6 |
| 3 |  Illinois State | 7-2 | +19.7 |
| 4 |  South Dakota | 7-3 | +18.4 |
| 5 | North Dakota | 6-4 | +17.5 |
| 6 |  Southern Illinois | 4-5 | +10.5 |
| 7 |  Northern Iowa | 4-4 | +10.3 |
| 8 |  Indiana State | 2-7 | +0.7 |
| 9 |  Murray State | 1-8 | -9.5 |
High schools on the North Dakota roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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