Murray State Football
Murray State is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the MVFC, based in Murray, KY. The 2026 record stands at 1-8. The Cooper Predictor rates Murray State at -9.5, No. 112 of 127 FCS teams and No. 9 of 9 in the MVFC. The model projects a 1-11 finish, with Playoff Odds of 0.6%. The model's pre-game picks are 8-0 in Murray State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Illinois State 14-35 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Youngstown State on Nov 7 — the model projects Youngstown State 45-20, giving Murray State a 3% chance to win.
Open Murray State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | vs Eastern Illinois | no pick on record | L 14-28 |
| Sep 5 | @ Middle Tennessee | L 13-45 1% ✓ | L 14-38 |
| Sep 12 | vs Valparaiso | W 34-24 79% ✓ | W 27-18 |
| Sep 19 | @ Oklahoma State | L 3-45 0% ✓ | L 0-59 |
| Sep 26 | vs Southern Illinois | L 20-35 11% ✓ | L 6-46 |
| Oct 3 | @ North Dakota | L 13-45 2% ✓ | L 28-55 |
| Oct 17 | vs South Dakota | L 17-41 4% ✓ | L 20-48 |
| Oct 24 | @ South Dakota State | L 7-45 1% ✓ | L 9-42 |
| Oct 31 | @ Illinois State | L 10-45 2% ✓ | L 14-35 |
| Nov 7 | vs Youngstown State | L 20-45 3% | — |
| Nov 14 | @ Indiana State | L 24-38 18% | — |
| Nov 21 | vs Northern Iowa | L 17-35 12% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Murray State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
MVFC by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Dakota State | 7-2 | +23.9 |
| 2 |  Youngstown State | 7-2 | +21.6 |
| 3 |  Illinois State | 7-2 | +19.7 |
| 4 |  South Dakota | 7-3 | +18.4 |
| 5 |  North Dakota | 6-4 | +17.5 |
| 6 |  Southern Illinois | 4-5 | +10.5 |
| 7 |  Northern Iowa | 4-4 | +10.3 |
| 8 |  Indiana State | 2-7 | +0.7 |
| 9 | Murray State | 1-8 | -9.5 |
High schools on the Murray State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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