THE COOPER PREDICTOR
Cooper Predictor U · College Football
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South Dakota Football

NCAA Division I FCS · MVFC · Vermillion, SD
Power
+18.4
▲0.3
FCS Rank
#6
MVFC Rank
#4
Record
7-3
Proj Rec
8-4
Playoff Odds
67.3%
▼5.3

South Dakota is an NCAA Division I FCS football program in the MVFC, based in Vermillion, SD. The 2026 record stands at 7-3. The Cooper Predictor rates South Dakota at +18.4, No. 6 of 127 FCS teams and No. 4 of 9 in the MVFC. The model projects an 8-4 finish, with Playoff Odds of 67.3%. The model's pre-game picks are 9-0 in South Dakota games this season. Most recent result: lost to South Dakota State 21-31 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Northern Iowa on Nov 14 — the model projects South Dakota 31-20, giving South Dakota a 78% chance to win.

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Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division I FCS.

2026 schedule, predictions & results

DateOpponentProjectionResult
Aug 29vs Central Connecticutno pick on recordW 59-20
Sep 5@ Northern ColoradoW 34-17 89% ✓W 38-23
Sep 12vs Eastern WashingtonW 38-20 87% ✓W 41-23
Sep 19@ Boise StateL 17-38 5% ✓L 24-38
Sep 26@ Youngstown StateL 31-34 45% ✓L 28-47
Oct 3vs Indiana StateW 41-21 87% ✓W 44-14
Oct 10vs Southern IllinoisW 34-27 73% ✓W 31-10
Oct 17@ Murray StateW 41-17 96% ✓W 48-20
Oct 24vs North DakotaW 31-28 62% ✓W 26-23
Oct 31@ South Dakota StateL 24-31 30% ✓L 21-31
Nov 14vs Northern IowaW 31-20 78%—
Nov 21@ Illinois StateL 24-28 41%—

Projection = the model's pick, projected score and South Dakota's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.

MVFC by power rating

#Team2026Power
1South Dakota State7-2+23.9
2Youngstown State7-2+21.6
3Illinois State7-2+19.7
4South Dakota7-3+18.4
5North Dakota6-4+17.5
6Southern Illinois4-5+10.5
7Northern Iowa4-4+10.3
8Indiana State2-7+0.7
9Murray State1-8-9.5

High schools on the South Dakota roster

Durant (FL)Wyatt Lawson
Edgewater (FL)Jaden Brown
Evans (FL)JaMichael Hill
IMG Academy (FL)Mason Wydra
Lakeland Christian (FL)DJ Howard
Minor (AL)Almarion Crim
Ocoee (FL)Charles Pierre Jr.

From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.

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