Minnesota State Football
Minnesota State is an NCAA Division II football program in the Northern Sun, based in Mankato, MN. The 2026 record stands at 9-0. The Cooper Predictor rates Minnesota State at +27.8, No. 5 of 164 D-II teams and No. 1 of 14 in the Northern Sun. The model projects an 11-0 finish, with Playoff Odds of 99.5%. The model's pre-game picks are 8-0 in Minnesota State games this season. Most recent result: beat Southwest Minnesota State 44-9 on Oct 31. Next up: vs Augustana (SD) on Nov 7 — the model projects Minnesota State 38-27, giving Minnesota State a 74% chance to win.
Open Minnesota State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division II.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | @ Colorado Mesa | no pick on record | W 38-14 |
| Sep 5 | @ University of Mary | W 41-17 93% ✓ | W 48-7 |
| Sep 12 | vs Bemidji State | W 38-17 89% ✓ | W 30-13 |
| Sep 19 | vs Northern State | W 41-24 83% ✓ | W 35-17 |
| Sep 26 | @ Sioux Falls | W 35-17 86% ✓ | W 28-14 |
| Oct 3 | vs Concordia St. Paul | W 45-10 97% ✓ | W 49-7 |
| Oct 10 | @ Winona State | W 31-14 89% ✓ | W 34-16 |
| Oct 24 | vs Wayne State (NE) | W 35-21 80% ✓ | W 35-0 |
| Oct 31 | @ Southwest Minnesota State | W 45-3 99% ✓ | W 44-9 |
| Nov 7 | vs Augustana (SD) | W 38-27 74% | — |
| Nov 14 | @ Minnesota St Moorhead | W 38-21 84% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Minnesota State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Northern Sun by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota State | 9-0 | +27.8 |
| 2 |  Minnesota Duluth | 7-2 | +19.6 |
| 3 |  Augustana (SD) | 7-2 | +19.2 |
| 4 |  Wayne State (NE) | 7-2 | +14.2 |
| 5 | NSNorthern State | 6-3 | +10.7 |
| 6 |  Minnesota St Moorhead | 5-4 | +10.7 |
| 7 |  Sioux Falls | 6-3 | +9 |
| 8 |  Bemidji State | 4-5 | +7.1 |
| 9 |  Winona State | 3-6 | +6.8 |
| 10 |  Minot State | 3-6 | +4.1 |
| 11 |  University of Mary | 3-6 | -2.3 |
| 12 |  Concordia St. Paul | 3-6 | -9.8 |
| 13 | JJamestown | 0-9 | -15 |
| 14 |  Southwest Minnesota State | 1-8 | -17 |
High schools on the Minnesota State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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