Southwest Minnesota State Football
Southwest Minnesota State is an NCAA Division II football program in the Northern Sun, based in Marshall, MN. The 2026 record stands at 1-8. The Cooper Predictor rates Southwest Minnesota State at -17, No. 143 of 164 D-II teams and No. 14 of 14 in the Northern Sun. The model projects a 1-10 finish, with Playoff Odds of 0.1%. The model's pre-game picks are 8-0 in Southwest Minnesota State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Minnesota State 9-44 on Oct 31. Next up: at Concordia St. Paul on Nov 7 — the model projects Concordia St. Paul 31-21, giving Southwest Minnesota State a 28% chance to win.
Open Southwest Minnesota State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division II.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | vs Valley City State | no pick on record | W 10-7 |
| Sep 5 | @ Bemidji State | L 13-38 6% ✓ | L 0-38 |
| Sep 12 | vs Northern State | L 14-42 4% ✓ | L 3-30 |
| Sep 19 | @ Minot State | L 14-38 8% ✓ | L 0-59 |
| Sep 26 | vs Wayne State (NE) | L 6-41 2% ✓ | L 24-38 |
| Oct 3 | vs Minnesota Duluth | L 3-38 2% ✓ | L 6-28 |
| Oct 10 | @ Sioux Falls | L 10-38 5% ✓ | L 14-28 |
| Oct 24 | @ Augustana (SD) | L 13-52 2% ✓ | L 0-45 |
| Oct 31 | vs Minnesota State | L 3-45 1% ✓ | L 9-44 |
| Nov 7 | @ Concordia St. Paul | L 21-31 28% | — |
| Nov 14 | vs Winona State | L 10-31 9% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Southwest Minnesota State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Northern Sun by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota State | 9-0 | +27.8 |
| 2 |  Minnesota Duluth | 7-2 | +19.6 |
| 3 |  Augustana (SD) | 7-2 | +19.2 |
| 4 |  Wayne State (NE) | 7-2 | +14.2 |
| 5 | NSNorthern State | 6-3 | +10.7 |
| 6 |  Minnesota St Moorhead | 5-4 | +10.7 |
| 7 |  Sioux Falls | 6-3 | +9 |
| 8 |  Bemidji State | 4-5 | +7.1 |
| 9 |  Winona State | 3-6 | +6.8 |
| 10 |  Minot State | 3-6 | +4.1 |
| 11 |  University of Mary | 3-6 | -2.3 |
| 12 |  Concordia St. Paul | 3-6 | -9.8 |
| 13 | JJamestown | 0-9 | -15 |
| 14 | Southwest Minnesota State | 1-8 | -17 |
High schools on the Southwest Minnesota State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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