Northern State Football
Northern State is an NCAA Division II football program in the Northern Sun, based in Aberdeen, SD. The 2026 record stands at 6-3. The Cooper Predictor rates Northern State at +10.7, No. 41 of 164 D-II teams and No. 5 of 14 in the Northern Sun. The model projects an 8-3 finish, with Playoff Odds of 0.1%. The model's pre-game picks are 7-1 in Northern State games this season. Most recent result: lost to Augustana (SD) 24-31 on Oct 31. Next up: at Minot State on Nov 7 — the model projects Northern State 31-27, giving Northern State a 62% chance to win.
Open Northern State in Cooper Predictor U →Updated Nov 2, 2026 · power ratings compare teams within NCAA Division II.
2026 schedule, predictions & results
| Date | Opponent | Projection | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27 | vs Chadron State | no pick on record | W 42-17 |
| Sep 3 | vs Winona State | W 34-24 74% ✓ | W 31-16 |
| Sep 12 | @ Southwest Minnesota State | W 42-14 96% ✓ | W 30-3 |
| Sep 19 | @ Minnesota State | L 24-41 17% ✓ | L 17-35 |
| Sep 26 | vs University of Mary | W 41-21 89% ✓ | W 21-14 |
| Oct 3 | vs Bemidji State | W 31-24 62% ✓ | W 16-9 |
| Oct 10 | @ Minnesota Duluth | L 20-27 37% ✓ | L 7-34 |
| Oct 24 | @ Minnesota St Moorhead | L 28-31 43% ✗ | W 14-13 |
| Oct 31 | vs Augustana (SD) | L 28-35 32% ✓ | L 24-31 |
| Nov 7 | @ Minot State | W 31-27 62% | — |
| Nov 14 | vs Jamestown | W 34-7 95% | — |
Projection = the model's pick, projected score and Northern State's win probability. For games already played it is the pick frozen before kickoff, with ✓ or ✗ beside it — every pick stays public.
Northern Sun by power rating
| # | Team | 2026 | Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota State | 9-0 | +27.8 |
| 2 |  Minnesota Duluth | 7-2 | +19.6 |
| 3 |  Augustana (SD) | 7-2 | +19.2 |
| 4 |  Wayne State (NE) | 7-2 | +14.2 |
| 5 | NSNorthern State | 6-3 | +10.7 |
| 6 |  Minnesota St Moorhead | 5-4 | +10.7 |
| 7 |  Sioux Falls | 6-3 | +9 |
| 8 |  Bemidji State | 4-5 | +7.1 |
| 9 |  Winona State | 3-6 | +6.8 |
| 10 |  Minot State | 3-6 | +4.1 |
| 11 |  University of Mary | 3-6 | -2.3 |
| 12 |  Concordia St. Paul | 3-6 | -9.8 |
| 13 | JJamestown | 0-9 | -15 |
| 14 |  Southwest Minnesota State | 1-8 | -17 |
High schools on the Northern State roster
From publicly published rosters, for the high school states the Cooper Predictor covers. Some rosters do not list a high school, so a player may be missing.
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